Top11: architectural miracles that will NOT happen in 2011
Top-11: architectural miracles that will NOT happen in 2011
Let’s start? It’s going to be fun, I promise…
1. Forget about Dubai. Architectural boom is over for them… and for us.
2. Abu Dhabi, Bahrein… sorry it will not replace Dubai miracle.
3. China? 2010 was great for the architectural firms operating on Chinese market. But it will NOT get any better than this. Let’s hope it will not collapse (as a reminder please see topic 1).
4. Western markets will not come back to life for the architects. Ireland, Iceland, Spain and other economies that had provided nice opportunities for the architects 3 years ago are DEAD. The building industry is in deep freeze for many years to come… Same goes for the USA…
Ok we’re done with the local issues. It was easy, let’s move on.
5. Even if the markets somehow recover (very low chance) the construction industry will be the last one to return to the normal growth. Usually architectural field follows the developers. This means we are not the last person in the line of the economic recovery, we are BEHIND the last one.
6. Ridiculously low architectural fees will shrink even more. Simple logic – markets are in terrible shape, builders cannot get the loans, customers are not able to afford the new homes, businesses are not renting new offices, and the competition remains high… How can you expect any positive change in the fee’s structure?
7. Using the same logic it is very simple to predict that unemployment among the architects will grow. If you are unemployed now – don’t expect do find any decent architectural position in the future. Sorry to disappoint you.
8. Engineering firms, marketing consultants, governmental bodies will bite another piece from the architectural services, as any active developer / builder will try “to optimize” their costs. Knowing how they “respect” architects and given the current circumstances this should not be a surprise for us.
Not gloomy enough? Wait…
9. Cheap labor from India will be much more aggressive. Outsourcing works. Look at the high-tech industries. Nobody cares about the quality. So even experienced CAD technicians have to be concerned, not to mention architects which are not so good with the computers. This trend is irreversible.
10. Employees will be facing enormous pressure from their bosses, as the industry is sinking. Bonuses? Keep dreaming… Salary raise? Get real… Over-time? Yes, plenty. And no one is going to pay you for this. Be thankful for not being fired… yet.
And some optimism for the finish.
11. Apocalypse will not happen in 2011. We all know it’s going to be a bit later.
Now… don’t get me wrong. I am not above you. Oh, no! We are all in the same shitty boat. I just accept fate humorously… Let’s hope I am totally wrong. See you next year.
Marry X-mas and Happy New 2011, ladies.
P.S. That girl on the “cover page” has been placed to make you feel better. Chicks still “dig” architects.